Archive for the ‘Fantasy Football Updates’ Category

Pretty much everyone can throw their “pre-season” predictions out the window because it has been a crazy NFL season so far.  The worst team in the NFL in 2012 is now undefeated, we have two teams that have only won one game, and we have teams that were supposed to be Super Bowl contenders just fall off the face of the earth.  But, thats whats fun about football; you never know whats going to happen.  We are now 10 weeks into the 2013 season and a playoff picture is now starting to form.  There are some teams that we can tell are playoff bound, and at the same time I really think we will have a crazy Wild Card race going into the playoffs.  So, with that being said here is the current NFL Power Ranking; along with some other interesting facts.

1. Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) – Ten weeks ago when it was Week 1 the Chiefs were ranked at #22.  People will make the argument that the Chiefs have not played a tough team yet, but the fact remains they are undefeated.  The Chiefs defense has really been a surprise and they have been holding opponents to under 18 points a game.  The Chiefs offense is not the best in the NFL, but Smith and Company have been doing something that most teams do too much of and thats NOT turning the ball over.  It is very rare that the Chiefs turn the ball over and when you add that to a stout defense it equals victories.  In the next 3 weeks the Chiefs will play the Broncos twice so we will really see what they are made of.

2. Denver Broncos (8-1) – Peyton Manning has been a thrill to watch this year and he is leading the NFL in pretty much every passing category.  Another surprise on the Broncos offense has been Knowshon Moreno, he has found the endzone 8 times this season.  The Broncos defense has suffered some setbacks, but when you get an offense that will score almost 40 points a game it really helps.  The 3-headed monster on the team is the combo of Welker, Thomas, and Decker and with those 3 running routes at the same time makes it almost impossible to defend.  The lowest the Broncos ranking has been this year was 4th; I dont see a way that the Broncos wont be deep into the playoffs.

3. Seattle Seahawks (9-1) – When the season started the Seahawks were ranked #1 and the lowest they have gone is 5th.  The Seahawks have had one of the best defenses in the NFL, not to mention a very high powered offense.  Lynch has already scored 7 rushing TDs and is second in the NFL in rushing yards.  Between Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas they have combined for 8 interceptions which makes it very difficult to pass on the Seahawks.  I really cant see anything slowing Seattle down between Russell Wilson, Lynch, Golden Tate, and a powerful defense it would not surprise me to see Seattle playing in the Super Bowl.

4. New Orleans Saints (7-2) – When the season started the Saints were ranked at 14 and had a terrible defense in 2012.  It has been a major turn around this season with Brees throwing 25 TDs already and over 3,000 passing yards.  Lets not forget Jimmy Graham who has been a dominating force with 10 receiving TDs and 54 receptions; which is more than most receivers on other teams.  Someone that gets overlooked on this offense is Pierre Thomas; with Sproles not being as productive as usual Thomas has been the primary running back to shoulder the load in the running game and he has made a bigger impact this year than he has in previous years.

5. New England Patriots (7-2) – The Patriots have had their struggles this year, but they have made the adjustments they need to still win games.  Brady has been doing his best to utilize the young receivers he has and the running game has almost been non-existent up until a few weeks ago with Blount and Ridley.  Now with Gronkowski coming back into the mix it has given Brady a reliable target in the pass game and the young receivers have been improving every week. 

6. Carolina Panthers (6-3) – Yes you are reading this right; the Panthers are in the top 10 in the Power Rankings.  Just 10 weeks ago they were ranked down in the 23rd spot and now with a 5 game win streak they have cracked the top 10.  Its mostly the defense that is making this possible by holding opponents to under 19 points a game for the last 5 weeks.  Obviously Cam Newton has been keeping the offense rolling, but the defense is their best weapon as of late.  Players like Charles Johnson with 8.5 sacks, Mike Mitchell with 3 interceptions, and Luke Kuechly with 75 tackles is keeping the Panthers in games.  Believe it or not, but the Panthers could make a playoff run this season which would be the first in almost a decade.

7. Indianapolis Colts (6-3) – Despite getting handled by the Rams this week the Colts are still looking pretty sharp.  They have the weapons in Luck, Richardson, Hilton, and Fleener but they need to utilize them more.  Everyone thought that Richardson would be the answer to the run game, but so far it has been a disappointment and with Reggie Wayne going to IR the load has fallen on Hilton and Heyward-Bey.  The Colts defense has stepped up when needed as well in tough games.  What fans are hoping for is that Luck and Company can continue to get the ball to the endzone and make another playoff run.

8. San Francisco 49ers (6-3) – Once again the 49ers defense is one of the best in the NFL; but the offense is not doing their part.  The 49ers have an incredible running game with Gore, Hunter, and James; but Kap is literally dead last in passing yards.  The Niners have weapons too in Vernon Davis, Anquan Boldin, and Mario Manningham.  Eventually Crabtree will come back, but its not going to matter if Kap cant get the ball to them.  It would not surprise me if the Niners still make a playoff run, but it will be short lived unless the offense steps it up soon.  The good news is that the defense is stepping up big time.  When you have players like Patrick Willis, Navarrow Bowman, and Justin Smith you are bound to have a solid defense, but the Niners cannot rely on them to get them to another Super Bowl.

9. Detroit Lions (6-3) – When I think of the Lions there are 3 names that come to mind; Calvin Johnson, Matthew Stafford, and now Reggie Bush.  Between those 3 guys the Lions have become a very powerful offense.  Calvin has already found the endzone 9 times and is almost to 1,000 receiving yards already.  Reggie Bush has been a double threat by being the main rusher on the team and a safety valve for Stafford.  Picking up Bush was the best thing for the Lions and Bush has taken advantage of it by having 4 total TDs and almost 1,000 total yards.  Lets not forget about the defense, DeAndre Levy leads the NFL with 5 interceptions and Stephen Tulloch with 72 tackles.  The Lions actually do have a good chance at a playoff run with the Packers and the Bears both multiple games in the last few weeks.

10. Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) – The Bengals have now dropped 2 straight games; both in overtime, but dont count them out yet.  AJ Green leads the NFL in receiving yards and second in receptions; and between Bernard and Green-Ellis the running game has gotten a lot better.  To me, the issue is Dalton.  He is a good QB, but he is still making bad decisions in crucial times of the game.  When Dalton is hot he is almost impossible to stop, but when he is cold he is ice cold.  The Bengals have had an incredible defense this year and it is because of the defense that the Bengals are leading in their division.  If the Bengals can pull the offense together they should be able to take the NFC North with no problem.

11. Chicago Bears (5-4) – I had high hopes for the Bears after they came out of the gates with 3 straight wins, but recently they have been a bit disappointing.  Part of it was the fact that Cutler was injured, but you cant blame all of it on that.  The Bears main weapon is still Brandon Marshall, but Alshon Jeffery has been a nice compliment in the pass game.  Also, the emergence of Martellus Bennett has been a nice addition in the pass game.  My problem with the Bears is that they have re-vamped offensive line and a killer RB in Forte, but they are not giving him the ball enough.  Forte is almost to the 700 yard mark and a solid 7 TDs, but I feel he should be used more like an Adrian Peterson type back.  With Cutler back under center I think the Bears can give the Lions a run for their money, but only time will tell.

12. New York Jets (5-4) – The Jets were ranked dead last when the season began, but they have clawed their way up to #12.  The best thing that the Jets did was bench Sanchez; I am not saying Geno Smith is that much better, but it is definitely an improvement.  You cant blame everything on Smith though; the offensive line has given up a lot of sacks and the running game has not been too impressive.  So, how are the Jets 5-4?  Simple answer; defense.  The offense has stepped up in big situations, but the defense plays a full 4 quarters of football. 

13. Green Bay Packers (5-4) – Very rough season for the cheese heads.  The Packers have just been plagued with the injury big with key players going down, such as; Aaron Rodgers, Randall Cobb, and Jermichael Finley.  The bright spot though has been the outstanding play of rookie Eddie Lacy.  The Packers have been searching for a franchise RB and they found it big time.  Lacy as a rookie is ranked 8th in rushing yards and 7th in rushing attempts in the league.  This may not be the year that the Packers do well, but this team is going to be extremely tough for years to come.

14. Philadelphia Eagles (5-5) – Its been an up and down season for the Eagles, but I think they are on the right track now.  I think its official that Vick is not going to have a job next year, but Foles has played very well in a short amount of time.  And when you add in LeSean McCoy to the mix it just makes the offense that much better.  The Eagles have also found a star in Riley Cooper who is playing for the injured Jeremy Maclin; who also may not have a job next year.  The offense is finally coming together and even with the NFC East being a sloppy division, the Eagles could take the division easily.

15. Dallas Cowboys (5-5) – Speaking of NFC East its time to talk about the Cowboys.  What bothers me with the Cowboys is that they have all the weapons they need on offense and defense.  You have a better Tony Romo, Dez Bryant, Jason Witten, and DeMarco Murray.  And on defense you have Sean Lee and Ware who are having Pro Bowl years.  So whats the problem?  With the schedule that the Cowboys have I really thought they would be 7-3 right now.  Everyone wants to blame Romo (because its a habit), but I cant say its all his fault.  The Cowboys are going to need to step up their game if they hope to win this horrible division.

16. Arizona Cardinals (5-4) – Another team that has an awesome defense, but a mediocre offense.  I dont see the Cardinals making a playoff push, but if they can get some better offensive players I think they could be a contender in the NFC West.  In my opinion it starts with the offensive line.  The Cards have a decent run game and they have weapons in Fitzgerald and Roberts, but if Palmer cant throw the ball they will be useless.

17. San Diego Chargers (4-5) – They have had some bright spots in Woodhead, Rivers, and Gates, but they are having a tough time stopping teams from scoring.  Rivers is having a Pro Bowl type year, but that wont be enough in their division to make a playoff push.  They are competing in the AFC West that has the Broncos and the Chiefs; so I dont really see them going to the post-season. 

18. Baltimore Ravens (4-5) – Even with the Ravens being this low they could still make the playoffs.  The AFC North has the Bengals (who the Ravens just beat), the Steelers, and the Browns.  Over the alst few weeks the Ravens have been playing like the defensing Super Bowl Champs; especially the defense.  The biggest difference in the Ravens offense has been the poor play of Ray Rice who is barely averaging 3 yards per carry.  But, its not all his fault either the pass game has been almost non-existent this season.  But even with that said the Ravens could slip into the playoffs as long as they keep pulling in the wins.

19. Cleveland Browns (4-5) – Obviously in a re-building year trading away Richardson and going through QBs like I go through underwear.  The two bright spots have been the emergence of Jordan Cameron and Josh Gordon.  The Browns and the Ravens have the same record, but dont expect the Browns to be a playoff team.  There are a lot of holes in the offense, defense, and staff that will not benefit them for the remainder of the season. 

20. St. Louis Rams (4-6) – Sam Bradford is out for the rest of the year, the running game is finally working, and Tavon Austin finally had a breakout game.  There were some high hopes for the Rams coming into the season but they were quickly put to rest.  Up until last week the Rams didnt even have a rushing TD and we were just waiting for Austin to show why he was a first round pick.  The Rams could improve for future seasons, but I dont see them advancing for this season.

21. Tennessee Titans (4-5) – Even being ranked this low the Titans could push to be a Wild Card team.  In their division its the Colts, Texans, Jags, and the Titans.  Obviously the Jags and Texans have sealed their fate for this season, but the Titans still have a sliver of a chance.  You wont find any of the offensive players leading in any stats, but when you combine Chris Johnson, Jake Locker, Kendall Wright, and Nate Washington I think they could slide into a Wild Card spot if they get more wins under their belt.

22. Miami Dolphins (4-5) – Everyone was shocked when the Dolphins came out guns blazing winning 3 straight games.  But it has not taken long for the whole team to just crumble.  Since their 3 win start they have only won one more game which was in OT against the Bengals.  People thought having Mike Wallace in Miami would be an improvement and that has proven to be a disappointment, and most people listed Lamar Miller as a sleeper for fantasy players which has also been a disappointment.  Now with the Dolphins getting a lot of negative attention its only going to add to a growing problem for the franchise.

23. Washington Redskins (3-6) – I just dont understand this team at all.  Alfred Morris is probably one of the more reliable backs in the game, yet he is getting a lot less carries than his rookie year and more importantly, Morris is getting a lot less redzone carries which confuses me greatly.  I really cant tell what is going on with RGIII either.  One week he is unstoppable then the next week he cant do anything right.  It has been a treat to see Garcon play to his potential this season and I think he is one of the main reasons that the Redskins have won 3 games.  The Redskins have a long road ahead of them, but I still think that RGIII is the answer to most of the problems.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6) – Another team that just baffles me.  They are just letting games slip through their fingers.  Antonio Brown leads the NFL in receptions and has proven to be a reliable target for Big Ben, but he cant get in the endzone.  When it comes to the running game its literally hit or miss.  Le’Veon Bell is a good runner when he is healthy, but they do not have that reliable RB to back him up if something happens.  The “Steel Curtain” has not been up to par either this year and I cant tell what the problem is.  The Steelers are a good team and they have been for decades, but this has not been a good year and I dont see a playoff birth for 2013.

25. New York Giants (3-6) – Talk about a team that just fell right on their face.  It was mostly in the running game when they released Bradshaw, then Wilson played poorly, then Wilson and Brown got hurt, then Jacobs got hurt, then Hillis stepped in, and now Brown is back.  The defense has been really soft this year too by allowing well over 20 points a game which equals a lot of losses.  I know the Giants are a good team, but they got off on the wrong foot this year and they are paying for it now.

26. Buffalo Bills (3-7) – Between having a rookie QB and Spiller being a bust its just been one thing after another for the Bills this year.  People were really putting a lot of faith into Spiller and Manuel going into the season, but injuries put a stop to that quickly.  The Bills also have weapons that can add up tp wins, but they need to be able to put all the pieces of the puzzle together.  Eventually I could see the Bills being a playoff contender; just not this year.

27. Oakland Raiders (3-6) – It has been a treat to see how much Pryor has improved since the beginning of the season and I think Oakland finally has a QB they can groom to be a franchise QB.  One piece of this puzzle though is DMC needing to stay healthy for a full season.  McFadden has put up good numbers this year, but he is still plagued with the injury bug.  I gotta give the Raiders defense some credit because the few wins they have had this year have been won by the defense.

28. Houston Texans (2-7) – I really thought the Texans were going to be a solid playoff team this year; was I off or what?  It was very hard to watch Matt Schaub literally throw this team into the ground for the first 4 weeks, but its even tougher now with Foster being injured and the defense has fallen apart now that they are talking about cutting Ed Reid.  I am hoping this is just an “off” year for the Texans and they come back next year and get back on track.

29. Atlanta Falcons (2-7) – Roddy White, Julio Jones, Matt Ryan, Steven Jackson, and Tony Gonzalez.  When you look at those names all you see is Pro Bowls, TDs, and great players.  The fact that they are all on the same team you would think that it would be an unstoppable offense; well its been a different story this year.  I was predicting the Falcons to make another deep playoff run, but between injuries and just poor play they find themselves searching for answers.  2013 was not kind to the Falcons, but they will be better next season that much I know.

30. Minnesota Vikings (2-7) – I can sum up this teams season in two words; QB issues.  I can seriously say that the Vikings can blame the majority of this crappy season on the poor play of all 3 of their QBs.  Adrian Peterson is playing well and carrying the team as best as he can right now, but the QB (no matter who it is) is not helping matters.

31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-8) – With the loss of Josh Freeman and Doug Martin the Bucs have been using inexperienced players to try and carry the team.   Its been a sad year for the Bucs, but its mostly sitting on the offense to pick up the slack for next season.

32. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8) – They finally got a win.  To be honest I dont really think too many people had high hopes for the Jags this season.

As we approach the mid-way mark of the 2013 season it is time to see how our fantasy “projections” have turned out.  At the start of the season everyone had their opinions on who was going to be the best fantasy options.  Also, there were plenty of sleeper and bust articles written and now we get to see if any of those projections were correct.  In this article I will go over every position that encumbers a fantasy football team and I will go over who is leading in fantasy points and see if the projections earlier this season were correct or way off.  The point system I am using is a Standard ESPN Fantasy Football Scoring Format.  At the end of this article I will show the top rankings for all positions.

+QUARTERBACKS+

The QB section is pretty close to what we had expected.  The big surprise was how good of start Peyton Manning started off with.  Through 7 weeks Peyton has already put up a monstrous 168 fantasy points.  The next QB down is Drew Brees with 130 fantasy points which is still very good obviously.  A name that has shocked me is Jay Cutler; she is 7th in fantasy points for QB with 102 points which is above Aaron Rodgers (100), Matt Ryan (96), and Cam Newton (92).  Cutler was not even drafted in some leagues and in other leagues he has been just sitting on the bench.  People may want to think about starting him for future games now that he is proving to be a better QB than before.  Another big surprise was Tony Romo; he is 4th in fantasy points for QBs with 115 points and he has made some mistakes but not nearly as many as previous years.

The players that I have been disappointed with are Colin Kaepernick (76), Tom Brady (79), and Matt Schaub (72).  Kap in his first game looked like he was going to be just amazing, but since that game he has not been playing to the standard we had thought he would.  Tom Brady is going to the Hall of Fame, but with an inexperienced receiving squad he has really had to struggle to get the ball downfield this season.  There are some Patriot receivers who are stepping up, but it is a far cry from where he was just a few years ago.  Matt Schaub has just been a mess this season and if he is on your fantasy team then you are just wasting a slot.  He has been a turnover machine and he is not making it easy for the Texans to win.

+RUSHING+

There have been some big shockers here.  People who picked up Jamaal Charles are sitting pretty right now since he leads all RBs in points with 112.  LeSean McCoy is sitting at 98 points while Marshawn Lynch is at 93.  Outside of those 3 people it has been an absolute mess with RBs.  As it stands right now Knowshon Moreno is 4th in points for RBs with 92 which is ahead of Adrian Peterson (84); who I am sure was drafted #1 in every league.  In most leagues Moreno was not even drafted since it was said that Montee Ball would most likely be the starter.  Reggie Bush is also fitting in very well with the Lions by scoring 77 points already and that is with him missing one full game.  Adrian Peterson has had a lot of things happen this season but he is still producing numbers and he is 5th in points with 84 points so far this season.

Now for the disappointments in the RB column.  Here are some of the running backs that people picked in the first round of their drafts; CJ Spiller, Ray Rice, Doug Martin, Trent Richardson, Arian Foster, and Alfred Morris.  Now I am not saying they are all doing bad but I am going to put this into perspective.  Ray Rice has 37 fantasy points; that is one point more than back up running back Jaquizz Rodgers (36) for the Falcons.  I know Rice has had some injury issues but he is only averaging 2.8 yards per carry.  People had high hopes for CJ Spiller but he has only put up 39 points while his counter part Fred Jackson has racked up 71 points.  I dont think anyone saw that coming.  I think my two biggest surprises are Doug Martin (47) and Trent Richardson (45).  Martin had an incredible rookie year but he is proving to have a huge sophomore slump right now and the same goes for Richardson who even got traded to a better team!  I know most people who have Richardson or Martin have not been impressed yet.  Arian Foster is still having a good year so far with 80 points but he would be putting up a lot more if Schaub was not turning the ball over so much.  Some other quick disappointments are Maurice Jones-Drew with 40 points (27th ranked); and Chris Johnson with 46 points (19th ranked).

Some surprises at the running spot; besides Moreno; is DeMarco Murray, Frank Gore, and Danny Woodhead.  Even with Murray battling an injury he is still 10th in points for RBs, Gore is 11th in points with 67, and Woodhead who is playing behind Ryan Mathews is 16th in points with 49 while Mathews is 26th with 41 points.  There is still a long way to go in the season and there is always going to be players that just explode in November and December.

+RECEIVING+

This is where most of the fun is taking place right now.  I will go over the receivers first then the tight ends, but I am shocked that DeSean Jackson is the leader in points for receivers right now with 87 points.  Wes Welker is in second with 80 points, Dez Bryant is 3rd with 78 points, Brandon Marshall is 4th with 76 points, and Demaryius Thomas is 5th with 74 points.  There are a lot of familiar names toward the top of this list like Victor Cruz (73), Julio Jones (65), and Jordy Nelson (71).  One name that stands out right now is Alshon Jeffery with 63 points which ranks him 10th overall.  Another surprise name is Denarius Moore ranking in at 11th with 62 points which is above big named players like Reggie Wayne (56) and Calvin Johnson (55).  One player who is still consistent as ever is AJ Green with 69 points and coming in 8th in overall points.

The disappointments are all over the place here.  Most leagues had Calvin as the first picked receiver and so far he is ranked 16th in points which is pretty bad compared to his previous seasons.  At number 21 we have Anquan Boldin who had a monster first game, but since then has literally done nothing to keep his fantasy value up.  Another big name that is yet to impress is Vincent Jackson; I know he has had two games that were good, but other than that he only has 50 fantasy points and is ranked 23 right now.  One surprise here is Josh Gordon who missed the first 2 games of the season; yet he is ranked number 18 with 55 points.  All of the Bronco receivers are in the top 20 with Welker at number 2, Thomas at number 5, and Decker at number 17 so if you have any of those guys keep them in your lineup forever. 

When it comes to TEs we all know that Jimmy Graham is ranked first with 93 points, but sis you know the second TE with the most points is Julius Thomas with 78?  Bottom line if you have any Broncos receiver, you better hold on to them.  Vernon Davis comes in 3rd right now with 74 while the 4th ranked is Jordan Cameron with 73 points.  Antonio Gates is 5th on this list with 53 points and he is showing glimpses of previous seasons.  But that is a huge gap between 4th and 5th place right now; thats a whole 20 points.  There really are not any surprises when it comes to TEs except for the absence of Gronkowski.  There have been reports of Gronk coming back very shortly and I can see Brady putting him to good use very quickly.

+DEFENSE+

Most people dont really see how many “fantasy” points defenses put up.  I bet right now that most people dont know that the Chiefs have scored the most points with 113; the next defense down at number 2 is the Seahawks with 75 points.  So go to your fantasy team and add the Chiefs right now.  Also, the Titans are 3rd in defensive points with 66 and the Browns are 4th with 58 points.  After the first few defenses on this list they all are about equal; just a few points off so if you need a defense; you best pick up one of these.

+KICKERS+

Kickers and defenses are pretty similar.  Most kickers will do about the same amount of points give or take 10 points.  Right now Matt Prater leads all kickers with 72 points while Stephen Gostkowski comes in 2nd with 67 points.  Garrett Hartley and Steven Hauschka both have 62 points while Mason Crosby has 60 points.  After that they all pan out to be pretty much equal; but if you are in need of a kicker one of these guys will do the trick.

+TOTAL POINTS ALL+

1. Peyton Manning – 168
2. Drew Brees – 130
3. Philip Rivers – 119
4. Tony Romo – 115
5. Chiefs – 113
6. Jamaal Charles – 112
7. Matthew Stafford – 110
8. Jay Cutler – 102
9. Sam Bradford – 102
10. Aaron Rodgers – 100
11. Michael Vick – 98
12. LeSean McCoy – 98
13. Andrew Luck – 97
13. Matt Ryan – 96
14. Marshawn Lynch – 93
15. Jimmy Graham – 93
16. Knowshon Moreno – 92
17. Cam Newton – 92
18. Russell Wilson – 92
19. Alex Smith – 87
20. DeSean Jackson – 87
21. Adrian Peterson – 84
22. Matt Forte – 82
23. Andy Dalton – 81
24. Wes Welker – 80
25. Arian Foster – 80
26. Tom Brady – 79
27. Robert Griffin III – 79
28. Dez Bryant – 78
29. Julius Thomas – 78
30. Reggie Bush – 77
31. Terrelle Pryor – 77
32. Brandon Marshall – 76
33. Colin Kaepernick – 76
34. Joe Flacco – 75
35. Seahawks – 75
36. Vernon Davis – 74
37. Demaryius Thomas – 74
38. Victor Cruz – 73
39. Jordan Cameron – 73
40. Geno Smith – 73
41. Matt Schaub – 72
42. Matt Prater – 72
43. Fred Jackson – 71
44. Jordy Nelson – 71
45. DeMarco Murray – 71
46. Eli Manning – 70
47. AJ Green – 69
48. Frank Gore – 67
49. Stephen Gostkowski – 67
50. Titans – 66
51. Ben Roethlisberger – 65
52. Julio Jones – 65
53. Jake Locker – 65
54. Ryan Tannehill – 64
55. Alshon Jeffery – 64
56. Garrett Hartley – 62
57. Steven Hauschka – 62
58. Denarius Moore – 62
59. Torrey Smith – 62
60. Carson Palmer – 60
61. Larry Fitzgerald – 60
62. Mason Crosby – 60
63. Antonio Brown – 60
64. Nick Novak – 59
65. Gio Bernard – 59
66. EJ Manuel – 59
67. Browns – 58
68. Adam Vinatieri – 57
69. Alex Henery – 57
70. Reggie Wayne – 56
71. Bengals – 56
72. Colts – 56
73. 49ers – 56
74. Calvin Johnson – 55
75. Eric Decker – 55

Yet another edition of the 2013 Fantasy Football Busts.  I know that all of my “Busts” are totally subjective; but based off the information I have either read or heard on TV I have concluded these players to not do as well as most people think.  If you have not read my first volume of Busts you can find that on my home page.  There will be one more edition of this coming out in about a week, but in the mean time here is another crop of players who I will be staying away from in my fantasy drafts.

Ryan Mathews RB Chargers – The Chargers used to have one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL; but now they are one of the worst and Mathews is not helping.  He has been plagued with injuries and has not lived up to expectations.  Not to mention that the Chargers also have Ronnie Brown and Danny Woodhead in the back field.  I am not planning on Mathews making a huge splash this year.

Mark Ingram RB Saints – Ingram is a solid, strong, and tough runner; but the problem is that he is on a pass first team and there is a grip of running backs fighting for the starting spot.  Ingram has had some injury issues, but I think if he was on a team that ran the ball then he could be a good fantasy option.  Sproles is the main running back since he has speed; and Ingram and Thomas will be battling for the starting job. 

Any St. Louis RB – It is an absolute mess over in St. Louis and I don’t see a situation where one of the three RBs will emerge as a good fantasy option.  There is Pead, Richardson, and Stacy.  All of them are young; and none of them have too much experience and that makes them all a very shaky fantasy option.  I do not see a situation where I would have any of those guys on my fantasy team. 

Danario Alexander WR Chargers – This is another player who is yet to play a full NFL season due to injuries.  Philip Rivers used to be one of the most dependable passers in the NFL, but over the last few seasons he has been turning the ball over a lot.  If Danario can stay healthy then maybe I will change my mind, but it is hard to put a lot of faith into a WR that cannot stay healthy. 

Sidney Rice WR Seahawks – Back when Rice was with the Vikings I remember having him on my team and he would always put up strong numbers.  Since going over to Seattle he has not had the same fire he once had.  He has had numerous injuries and spotty fantasy numbers.  Now with Seattle bringing in Percy Harvin that drops his stock even lower.  If Rice is available for your very last pick he may be nice to have; but do not plan on using him that much.

Jermichael Finley TE Packers – I know it seems strange to put a Green Bay receiver on this list, but Finley is kind of the odd man out in Green Bay.  A few seasons ago, Finley was one of the elite tight ends and was putting up great fantasy numbers, but now he has a reputation for dropping passes and his touchdowns have gone down quite a bit.  I am not saying you should not draft Finley, but I would use him as a back up player.

Robert Griffin III QB Redskins – Now I am sure people think I am crazy for putting RGIII on this bust list but I have very valid concerns.  Redskins are a run first team, he is coming off a terrible knee injury, and his receivers are kind of unreliable.  I know that RGIII is going to be a great QB, but the 2013 season makes me kind of concerned and even though I had him on my team last year; I do not think I would take a chance on him this year.  He may prove me wrong but for now I feel he will be a bust.

Everyone has there own idea of who is good and who is bad; who is a sleeper and who is a bust.  Based on the research I have done, watching the draft, and staying updated on NFL news I have come up with my list of busts for the 2013 season.  In my eyes; a bust is a player who is ranked high on the ranking chart; but is not going to perform to expectations.  Most of these busts are players who are strctly ranked high because of their name; but there are some who are getting a lot of attention but I do not feel they will perform the way fans think they will. 

DeMarco Murray RB Cowboys – Not only do the Cowboys have a mediocre offensive line, but Murray is an injury junkie.  It seems like everytime I read about him he is injured and trying to get healthy.  On top of that he has never played a full season due to injuries.  Now I know Murray is a strong runner but it makes fantasy owners not want to draft him when he is always hurt.  He could prove me wrong in 2013; but I doubt it.

Cam Newton QB Panthers – The reason Newton is making this list is due in part that he wants to throw the ball more.  Newton in my opinion is not a pocket passer like Tom Brady or Drew Brees.  Newton is a scrambling QB who can make plays with his feet or make throws on the run.  So it makes me nervous that he wants to be more of a pocket passer because that is just not his style.  Not to mention he only really has one good WR in Steve Smith.  Just on pure number Newton has had 29 interceptions in 2 seasons; that averages out to be about 15 interceptions a year.  So if he does try to force throwing the ball I imagine that number will only go up.

David Wilson RB Giants – For some reason everyone is ranking Wilson to be one of the better running backs in 2013.  I look at it as he is going to be splitting time with Andre Brown and Brown will get the majority of the goal line carries.  Now I am not saying that Wilson is going to do bad; but I dont think he is going to put up the numbers experts are predicting.  Also, the Giants still have a pretty shakey offensive line that could make it difficult to run the ball.  I think he is still worth drafting; but not until the 6th or 7th Round.

Montee Ball RB Broncos – I know it is weird to have a rookie on the bust list; but it is not because of Ball at all; it is because of the team.  The Broncos are a passing team and Fox has never been happy about starting rookies.  Fox will give Ball the carries; but he will be splitting time with 2 other running backs who have tenure on him.  Ball will still get good playing time; but he is another example of being ranked higher than he should be.  Sae with Ball; if he is available in Round 6 or 7 then I think he is worth taking but no earlier than that.

Rob Gronkowski TE Patriots – I do know that Gronk is an amazing tight end; when he is healthy and that is still going to take some time.  He had numerous surgeries in the off season and he will miss some time.  So if you take a gamble on him and draft him early then you will need to snag another TE until he gets healthy which may not be until week 5 of the season.  Even when he does come back there is no guarantee that he will play like he did before; I would be careful about drafting Gronk this season.  Plus with Hernandez gone he will have more coverage once he does come back which will make it hard for Brady to get him the ball.

Pierre Garcon WR Redskins – When Garcon is hot he is super hot; but when he is injured he is super cold….obviously.  The problem is that Garcon was hurt for pretty much the entire 2012 season.  I have read that he is better now and should be good to go for 2013; but it is hard to believe because he is always getting injured.  Plus everyone is still waiting to see what happens with RGIII; if RGIII cant play right away then the Redskins will run the ball more than they pass and that is no good for Garcon.

Antonio Brown WR Steelers – The reason Brown made this list is because he has never been put into the #1 WR role before so it is hard to tell how he will handle it.  He obviously does not have the speed that Mike Wallace had and Brown had some issues with ball control in 2012.  Lets not forget about Big Ben; he has never been a huge fantasy QB since the Steelers are a running team.  And now with the Steelers having 4 RB’s on the roster it would not surprise me is they run the ball more than they pass.

Most of the offseason has come and gone and it is not that long before opening kickoff for the 2013 season.  With that being said there are still a good number of veteran running backs that are not signed to a team.  Now just because you are a veteran running back does not mean that teams will be falling all over themselves to sign you; but some of the guys still out there are a little shocking that they have no been signed yet..

Each NFL team will normally have 3 running backs on their roster; most teams have 3 solid running backs, but there are a good handful of teams who could use some fresh legs on their team.  Some teams are holding on to mediocre running backs instead of releasing them and picking up a veteran running back who could help provide leadership; and get a few carries in games.  Almost every team is always going to be on the hunt for the next Arian Foster who went undrafted and is now one of the best running backs in the NFL.  With a veteran you know exactly what you are getting, but any of these guys would be great additions to some teams.

Willis McGahee – Willis has had 1,000 yard seasons on 3 different teams and has proven to be a solid bruising running back.  Because of that he has had some injuries along the way, but he still has a few years of playing time left.  I think a team like Rams could use him since all they have is young guys in the backfield.  I also think the Raiders would be a good fit since Darren McFadden has been bitten by the injury bug almost every season.

Michael Turner – Now Turner is getting up there is years and he is bigger than most running backs; but that makes him perfect for goal line carries on almost any team.  He still has some tread on those big tires and a team like the Cowboys could use him just for his size.  Honestly I think Turner would be a good fit for the Packers to help take some stress off Rodgers; and he would split with the rookie Lacy.  I really think a team needs to pick Turner up; remember he rushed for 10 touchdowns in 2012

Cedric Benson – Now Benson has had some injury issues, but before he got hurt in 2012 he was doing pretty well with the Packers.  Benson is now 30 and I think he still has 4 or 5 years left of playing time a head of him.  I think the Raiders would be a good fit for Benson just because of how hard he runs.  I also think Benson would be a great backup for Doug Martin on the Bucs; Martin is more of a finesse runner; and then Benson will run you over.

Beanie Wells – Truthfully I don’t have a lot to say about Beanie because he is a high risk, but high reward type running back.  When Beanie is healthy he is a total beast, but injuries have proven to get the best of him in almost every season.  Even with the injuries I think he would be a good compliment to Jamaal Charles on the Chiefs, or a nice addition to the Bills.  I doubt he will get picked up for the 2013 season; but if he can get healthy and stay healthy I think teams will want to sign him.

Ryan Grant – Now Grant has never been a huge name when it comes to stats, but he has quick feet and is a tough runner.  With his running style he could be an excellent addition to the Vikings playing next to Adrian Peterson.  I know the Vikings have Toby Gerhart, but Grant would help add some speed on third down.  Grant would also fit nicely into the Patriots gameplan.  The Patriots already have Ridley and Vereen, bur Grant would be a nice third down back or goal line back.

 

 

The NFL season is not too far away, teams are doing training camps, and players are starting to get ranked for fantasy football.  This year there is going to be a lot of players that everybody is going to try and get.  A sleeper is a player that people may be overlooked because of previous seasons, their off field issues, or because of the team they are on; but they will put up a lot of fantasy points despite all of that.  The sleeper players I am putting on this list are players that you will want to try and draft after round 4.  The first few rounds people know who they want to draft and they are normally very popular players.  So in no particular order here is a list of players that could be sleepers for the 2013 NFL season.

Maurice Jones-Drew RB Jaguars – MJD has had some injuries in past seasons and a very shakey offensive line.  He is now totally healthy and the Jaguars beefed up their offensive line.  Not to mention that the Jaguars put in a new offense that will utilize MJD to his full potential.  Expect MJD to run for at least 1200 yards and 7 TDs

Chris Johnson RB Titans – Chris Johnson used to be one of the first running backs taken in fantasy drafts, but he has had some rocky seasons.  The Titans made a lot of improvements to their offensive line and Johnson is fully healthy.  Look for him to have at least 1300 rushing yards and 6 TDs.  Not to mention he is a good receiver too; he will pull in points off receptions too.

Reggie Bush RB Lions – Bush has been bounced around a lot and has not totally lived up to the hype coming out of college; but he started to gain a lot of momentum with Miami and that will only get better now he is in Detroit.  Bush will split carries with Leshoure, but he will be a huge addition to the pass game.  Remember the Lions pass the ball a lot; and Bush has the speed to make a huge impact.  He will total up at least 8 TDs this year and around 1400 total yards.

Lamar Miller RB Dolphins – Miller should pick up right where Bush left.  Miller is a big physical runner who wont shy away from running a defender over.  Most people have never heard of him because this is the first year he will be a starter.  The Dolphins like to run the ball and Miller will take most of the carries.  He has the potential to go over 1000 rushing yards and having 7 TDs.

Chris Ivory RB Jets – Ivory has made it very clear that he is excited to be a Jet and that he plans on having his best year.  This is his first chance to be a starting running back after being a back up on the Saints for a number of years.  He will get a lot of carries; and the Jets run the ball more than they throw.  With the Jets passing game being a little risky; plan on them running a lot.  I think he could end up with 1100 rushing yards and 7 TDs by the end of the year.

Miles Austin WR Cowboys – Austin started his career with a bang; but over the last few seasons he has had one injury after another.  The Cowboys have basically said this year is a do or die for Austin; he is also on a contract year.  He is finally healthy and he is playing opposite of Dez Bryant who will pull a lot of double coverages.  The Cowboys are a throwing team so I can see Austin having 60 receptions, 800 or more yards, and 6 TDs.  As long as he stays healthy he should be a nice pick up.

Mike Williams WR Bucs – Williams has been a solid player for years now.  He wont put up numbers like Calvin Johnson, but he will consistently put up good fantasy numbers.  In the last 3 seasons, Williams has had at least 60 receptions.  The main receiver in Tampa Bay is Vincent Jackson; but if you dont get Jackson then get Williams he will have at least 60 receptions, over 900 yards, and 8 TDs.

Kenny Britt WR Titans – When Britt is healthy and on the football field he is one of the best out there.  He has had off field problems and health issues.  This is his contract year andif he wants to get another contract he will have to have a good year.  He is healthy, not in any legal troubles, and been training like a mad man.  Britt may be one of the biggest sleepers in 2013.  It would not surprise me if he had 70 receptions, 1000 yards, and 8 TDs.

Dwayne Bowe WR Chiefs – Over the last few seasons Bowe has not done much, but we all remember a few seasons ago when he was the best receiver when it came to fantasy points.  The Chiefs got a new head coach, new QB, and a new offense that will utilize Bowe more.  He is still young and has a lot of promise.  In previous years Bowe was a risky pick; I would take him in a heart beat now.  I think he could have 80 or more receptions, over 1100 receiving yards and 9 TDs.

Kyle Rudolph TE Vikings – There are numerous tight ends that will be drafted before Rudolph, but dont forget that he has a great relationship with QB Ponder and he will see a lot of targets.  Even with the Vikings signing Greg Jennings; you can still plan on Rudolph putting up good fantasy numbers.  He could end up with 65 receptions and 10 TDs.

Denarius Moore WR Raiders – The Raiders just got a new QB with Matt Flynn; and they got a new offense.  Moore is really the only reliable target in Oakland and you can plan on Flynn looking his way a lot.  The Raiders will still utilize the run game a lot; but Moore is a deep threat that you will want on your team.  He could end up with 55 receptions, 900 yards, and 6 TDs.

Alshon Jeffery WR Bears – Obviously Brandon Marshall is the main man i Chicago, but he is going to have a lot of double coverages on him.  That is where Jeffery comes in.  He is going to be a very reliable second option for Cutler and he just might be one of the biggest sleepers you could draft.  I could see him with 60 receptions, 800 yards, and 7 TDs.

Aaron Dobson WR Patriots – New England is having some major tight end issues so Brady is going to get very familiar with his receivers.  Amendola will be the main guy, but Dobson is going to be a solid player as well.  The Patriots like to throw the ball and Brady likes to distribute the ball to as many receivers as possible and Dobson will be on the receiving end of most of those.  He could have 50 receptions, 750 yards, and 8 TDs.

When it comes to fantasy football you have to have a solid quarterback.  Even though running backs or receivers can be more valuable, the quarterbacks are the ones who can put up insane points any given week.  There are a lot of very amazing quarterbacks in the NFL for the 2013 season and I am going to be ranking them along with an explanation of their skills.

1. Aaron Rodgers – Packers: Rodgers has so many weapons around him that he could pass all day long without getting tired.  Even with the losing of Greg Jennings, Rodgers still has Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, James Jones, and Jermichael Finley to throw to.  When it comes to fantasy number there is no doubt that Rodgers should be the first QB taken.  Remember that Rodgers can also run and he will continue to do that in 2013.

2. Peyton Manning – Broncos: I put Manning above Tom Brady only because Manning has a lot of weapons to throw to.  The Broncos already have Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker, and in the off season they acquired Wes Welker.  Peyton had a huge year in 2012, and he shows no signs of slowing down especially with the team that is in Denver.  Peyton is getting up there in years so you will not see him scramble much, but there is no denying that he has one of the best arms in the NFL.

3. Tom Brady – Patriots: Even with the Patriots losing a few offensive people, Brady can make any receiver a star.  Brady has always had a strong arm and he is very smart when it comes to reading defenses.  The Patriots already have Gronkowski and Hernandez which are huge targets, and they brought in Danny Amendola to fill in the spot for Welker.  The Patriots also have a solid running game, which takes a lot of pressure off the pass game.

4. Drew Brees – Saints: The Saints may not be the team they were a few seasons ago, but Brees remains the same.  He still has numerous receivers around him like Colston, Moore, and Jimmy Graham.  Brees has set a number of NFL records, and will always find a way to get the ball in the endzone.  So in fantasy numbers, Brees will always be a good addition to a team because he always produces.  When you start Brees, you can be assured that you will get numbers.

5. Matt Ryan – Falcons: Some people may disagree with this, but Ryan is going to have a monster year in 2013.  The Falcons picked up Steven Jackson to take some pressure off the pass game, and Ryan is surrounded by amazing receivers like Julio Jones, Roddy White, and Tony Gonzalez.  He had a few rocky years, but he almost took the Falcons to the Super Bowl in 2012, and he will be making another run in 2013.  He will be putting up a lot of touchdowns, this much is a fact.

6. Colin Kaepernick – 49ers: Now I know a lot of people are scratching their heads right now wondering how I am ranking Kap so high.  The reasons are due to the amazing offensive line in San Fran that will protect Kap and open holes for him to run.  The 49ers also brought in Boldin to play alongside Crabtree and Davis.  The 49ers have a lot of weapons, but it all starts with the offensive line.  Kap is an all around QB that can throw and run, and he will put up a lot of points in 2013.

7. Andrew Luck – Colts: The Colts brought in a lot of new people on offense and defense which will take a lot of pressure off Luck.  Luck has Reggie Wayne, Hilton, and now Heyward-Bey as targets which will give him a lot more options down field.  The only downside is that the Colts do not have a great running game so they will have to rely on the passing of Luck for most of the season.  I still think that with the success he had in 2012; that he will do better in 2013.

8. Russell Wilson – Seahawks: Yet another young QB on this list.  Wilson is very similar to Kap; because he can run and throw.  The Seahawks added Percy Harvin to the lineup which will open up the pass game for Rice and Tate.  Lets not forget that the Seahawks are another team with a very good offensive line that can protect Wilson.  When it comes to fantasy numbers I think Wilson will surprise people because he has weapons to throw to, and quick feet to run the ball.

9. Ben Roethlisberger – Steelers: Even with the departure of Wallace, Big Ben will still have a solid season.  He only threw 8 interceptions in 2012, and he is a very smart QB.  He still has Antonio Brown, Sanders, and Miller as targets downfield.  Big Ben may not put up the numbers that a Tom Brady would, but he will consistently put up solid numbers for any fantasy team. 

10. Cam Newton – Panthers: I know that he has had very good games, and not so good games, but he still finds a way to put up good fantasy numbers.  The Panthers still have Steve Smith, Greg Olsen, and LaFell.  In the off season they also picked up Ted Ginn, which should help add some dimension to the pass game.  Lets not forget that Newton can run, he is sure to run in a few touchdowns as well.  I think you could snag Newton late in the 5th or 6th round and still have a sold QB.